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Would you like that to hurt now or later?
"The major division in this country is no longer between parties but between political elites and the people," Mr. Rasmussen says.I had always assumed that the inanity of political polls was due to push polling: they weren't trying to find out what people thought, they were trying to alter their views. However true that may be in general it seems that there is also real confusion and misunderstanding.His recent polls show huge gaps between the two groups. While 67% of the political class believes the U.S. is moving in the right direction, a full 84% of mainstream voters believe the nation is moving in the wrong one. The political class overwhelmingly supported the bailouts of the financial and auto industries, the health-care bill, and the Justice Department's decision to sue Arizona over its new immigration law. Those in the mainstream public just as intensely opposed those moves.
The division of Americans into these groups has real significance for the way polls are conducted and how their results are interpreted, according to Mr. Rasmussen. One reason some polls offer misleading results, he says, is that the premise behind questions asked isn't always shared by those queried. "Many pollsters have asked voters whether policy makers should spend more to improve the economy or reduce spending to cut the deficit. But I found that 52% of Americans think more government spending hurts the economy and only 28% think it helps," he says. "The trade-offs pollsters offer voters often don't make sense to them. How you frame the question often obscures the results you get."
"This will be the third straight election in which people vote against the party in power," he says. "The GOP will benefit from that this year, but 75% of Republicans say their representatives in Congress are out of touch with the party base. Should they win big this November, they will have to move quickly to prove they've learned lessons from the Bush years." . . .The linked article is framed as yet another explanation for the Tea Party, but I don't think that it is necessary or useful to apply a label to the aggregate facts. It is sufficient to note that a super majority of the ruling class likes itself while an overwhelming majority of the rest of society disagrees. Nothing is added by labeling 84% of society as if they were a coherent group since they are a wildly diverse lot who agree on little else.
Update: This is old - February 18, 2010 - but is being linked lately by others and still seems relevant.
The founding document of the United States, the Declaration of Independence, states that governments derive “their just powers from the consent of the governed.” Today, however, just 21% of voters nationwide believe that the federal government enjoys the consent of the governed. . .How could a random group only do as well as the current Congress? IMV that hugely underestimates the probable benefit of a random group.In his new book, In Search of Self-Governance, Scott Rasmussen observes that the American people are “united in the belief that our political system is broken, that politicians are corrupt, and that neither major political party has the answers.” He adds that “the gap between Americans who want to govern themselves and the politicians who want to rule over them may be as big today as the gap between the colonies and England during the 18th century.” . . .
Sixty percent (60%) of voters think that neither Republican political leaders nor Democratic political leaders have a good understanding of what is needed today. Thirty-five percent (35%) say Republicans and Democrats are so much alike that an entirely new political party is needed to represent the American people.
Nearly half of all voters believe that people randomly selected from the phone book could do as good a job as the current Congress.