| Muck and Mystery Loitering With Intent |
blog - at - crumbtrail.org |
I'm not here, I'm too busy to post, but this bit of insanity is good for a laugh.
Ed Milliband, the new Secretary for State on Energy and Climate Change, committed the UK to cutting greenhouse-gas emissions by 80% by 2050. This tough new target was based on evidence produced by Lord Turner's Committee on Climate Change. . .So they have a fantasy that for the next 100 years the only thing that can be done is to reduce emissions? Apparently so since they go on to talk about 300 years and even longer with still no mention of anything but emissions reductions. Remember, 100 years ago people went to war on horseback. How will they get there 100 years in the future? 300 years?The G8 plan aims to cut global emissions by 50% by 2050, and then hold emissions constant. Writing in the journal Environmental Research Letters, House and her colleagues show that under this scenario atmospheric carbon-dioxide concentrations will continue to rise despite the cut in emissions. The model suggests that by 2100, carbon-dioxide concentrations could be as high as 590 parts per million (ppm) and global temperatures could be as much as 3.1°C above pre-industrial levels. And by 2300, the worst-case scenario shows that carbon-dioxide levels could be 980 ppm with an accompanying rise in global temperature of 5.7°C.
Things look a little more hopeful if the Stern Review proposal is followed; of cutting emissions by 25% by 2050, rising to 80% by around 2150. In this case, House and colleague’s model showed that carbon-dioxide levels would nearly stabilize at levels of between 500–600 ppm by 2100. However levels would creep up further into the future without greater cuts.
Long term stabilization of atmospheric carbon dioxide at levels of around 550 ppm will require cuts in emissions of between 81 and 90% by 2300, and even more beyond that time, according to House.
I've been worried about the Brits for some time now. I fear that it is too late for them now. And, I fear that America is circling the drain too, based on the current crop of presidential candidates.