Muck and Mystery
   Loitering With Intent
blog - at - crumbtrail.org
October 05, 2006
Cosmic Climate

Philip is back and posting again, though it's not clear where he's been. He's a bit excited about a new paper, 'Do electrons help to make the clouds?', (press release).

A team at the Danish National Space Center has discovered how cosmic rays from exploding stars can help to make clouds in the atmosphere. The results support the theory that cosmic rays influence Earth’s climate.

An essential role for remote stars in everyday weather on Earth has been revealed by an experiment at the Danish National Space Center in Copenhagen. It is already well-established that when cosmic rays, which are high-speed atomic particles originating in exploded stars far away in the Milky Way, penetrate Earth’s atmosphere they produce substantial amounts of ions and release free electrons. Now, results from the Danish experiment show that the released electrons significantly promote the formation of building blocks for cloud condensation nuclei on which water vapour condenses to make clouds. Hence, a causal mechanism by which cosmic rays can facilitate the production of clouds in Earth’s atmosphere has been experimentally identified for the first time.

The Danish team officially announce their discovery on Wednesday in Proceedings of the Royal Society A, published by the Royal Society, the British national academy of science. . .

The experimental results lend strong empirical support to the theory proposed a decade ago by Henrik Svensmark and Eigil Friis-Christensen that cosmic rays influence Earth’s climate through their effect on cloud formation. The original theory rested on data showing a strong correlation between variation in the intensity of cosmic radiation penetrating the atmosphere and the amount of low-altitude clouds. Cloud cover increases when the intensity of cosmic rays grows and decreases when the intensity declines.

It is known that low-altitude clouds have an overall cooling effect on the Earth’s surface. Hence, variations in cloud cover caused by cosmic rays can change the surface temperature. The existence of such a cosmic connection to Earth’s climate might thus help to explain past and present variations in Earth’s climate.

Interestingly, during the 20th Century, the Sun’s magnetic field which shields Earth from cosmic rays more than doubled, thereby reducing the average influx of cosmic rays. The resulting reduction in cloudiness, especially of low-altitude clouds, may be a significant factor in the global warming Earth has undergone during the last century. However, until now, there has been no experimental evidence of how the causal mechanism linking cosmic rays and cloud formation may work.

‘Many climate scientists have considered the linkages from cosmic rays to clouds to climate as unproven,’ comments Eigil Friis-Christensen, who is now Director of the Danish National Space Center. ‘Some said there was no conceivable way in which cosmic rays could influence cloud cover. The SKY experiment now shows how they do so, and should help to put the cosmic-ray connection firmly onto the agenda of international climate research.’

In an old post from 3 years ago, Start Making Sense, the basic theory was discussed and a paper by some of the main researchers, Nir J. Shaviv and Ján Veizer, was linked. It was widely discussed at the time but as noted above the mechanism was mysterious. All they had was correlation, though that is a strong if incomplete argument. Now we have a mechanism proposed.

It seems that only politicians (including scientists with BDS or otherwise stuck on stupid) wish to limit the investigation and scientific debate to avoid confusing the public with important contrary information. They fear that "enemies" will use the uncertainty to thwart their political objectives. True. But why would we want to support political objectives and policy proposals based on incomplete, misleading or even false information while ignoring other relevant data? This is short term thinking of the most foolish sort since in time it will all unravel - and we all suffer the consequences. This seems beyond foolish to me, verging on criminal negligence.

Continue the studies and the debate. Do what is sensible given our best understandings. Consider all the competing human objectives rather than getting hysterical about one issue. Expect surprises.

Posted by back40 at 09:32 AM | science

TrackBack URL for Cosmic Climate - http://www.garyjones.org/cgi-bin/mt/mt-tb1.cgi/385


Comments


One of the top lightning researcher in the world, Joe Dwyer at FIT, got his Y-ray and X-ray research published in the may o5 Scientific American,

http://www.sciam.com/article.cfm?ch...F9683414B7FFE9F

Dwyer's paper:
http://www.lightning.ece.ufl.edu/PDF/Gammarays.pdf

I started several threads, in various science forums, titled " Lightning Comes from Space" citing Joe Dwyer's work on runaway cascade initiation.

Looks like I'll have to update them with " Clouds Come from Space"

Posted by: Erich J. Knight at October 10, 2006 01:18 PM

All your clouds are belong to us.

Posted by: back40 at October 10, 2006 04:26 PM

Well I read the paper, and suffice it to say there is little relation between the press release and the paper. The paper itself merely shows that aerosols form around ions if you provide a ton of SO2, O3 and UV light. This is well known, and it is even well known that the main source of ions in the lower atmosphere is cosmic rays (about 10^3/cm3)

Under such conditions, the formation of aerosols is limited by the number of condensation nuclei and ions. There was little to no aerosol in the gas entering the cell, which left the ions and the walls of the cell as the only possible nucleation sites. In such a situation, the formation of aerosols depended on the ion density.

If you want a discussion of the photochemistry see Rabett Run which also points to a Mexico City study that shows the limiting factor in that natural atmosphere is the availability of SO2 and, to a lesser extent, NO2 (there is a smoking gun figure from the study at the end of the post). The NO2 is a source of ozone, which plays the same role as the ozone in the smog chamber, but at a much lower concentration.

Posted by: Eli Rabett at October 14, 2006 06:12 PM
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